DOW JONES WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

S&P Global Ratings: The Great Rate Games - In our pessimistic scenario, we forecast the default rate could rise to 6.25%. In this scenario, economic growth would slow to a crawl or enter recession. While we anticipate core inflation to fall this year, this has taken longer than it did for inflation to rise, keeping the Federal Reserve from lowering policy rates any time soon. Given persistent inflation, higher interest rates are clearly here to stay for a while. Markets started the year expecting six rate cuts by the Fed, but as time has passed, that has dwindled to two. For speculative-grade issuers, floating-rate benchmarks and market yields tend to follow policy rates very closely, but fixed-rate bond yields were arguably falling ahead of expected cuts. Current market yields could either remain in place or rise to recalibrate to now higher-for-longer policy rates. https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/240515-default-transition-and-recovery-resilient-growth-resilient-yields-and-resilient-defaults-to-bring-the-u-13106413

Arbor Realty Trust is a national direct lender that provides debt capital for the multifamily loan and commercial real estate industries. Viceroy Research Report: Viceroy’s investigations have discovered an elaborate and intentional con, where Arbor has financed purchases of assets from its own foreclosures, with Arbor loans, via off-balance sheet entities run by former Arbor associates, and entirely financed with Arbor equity capital. https://viceroyresearch.org/2024/05/09/arbor-realty-trust-fraud/

Roaring Kitty verpfändet und verzockt jetzt sein Haus: Das Problem für die Wall Street besteht darin, dass Eigenheimbesitzer nach Jahren steigender Eigenheimpreise angeblich über 11 Billionen US-Dollar an „abgreifbarem“ Eigenheimkapital verfügen. Eigenheimkapital ist ein theoretischer Wert, den Sie nur in Bargeld umwandeln können, indem Sie Kredite aufnehmen und dabei Wall-Street-Zinsen und -Gebühren zahlen, um an Ihr eigenes Geld zu kommen. Der Hausbesitzer kann das Geld nun für andere Dinge verwenden, es auf Kryptos setzen, über Nacht zum "Roaring Kitty" Gamestop Milliardär werden, Staatsanleihen kaufen, um 5,3 % Zinsen zu verdienen oder es auf andere Weise zu verzocken. https://wolfstreet.com/2024/05/12/its-funny-how-wall-street-tries-so-hard-to-get-homeowners-to-pay-interest-fees-on-their-own-money/

Wir nähern uns den Sahm Rezessionstrigger von 0.5 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

NYCB Sells $5 Billion in Loans to JPMorgan https://www.boersennews.de/community/diskussion/new-york-community-bancorp/14323/87891820/